click to show more information

click to hide/show information About your Search

20120901
20120930
Search Results 0 to 5 of about 6 (some duplicates have been removed)
you think dick morris is right? he says latinos increased their share by 1.5%. he says if you use that same model for this election and assume you will have the same turnouts from blacks, latinos and young kids, you will be off in your results. >> we just don't know the answer. that is, if all groups are depressed in their turnout as seems likely. the black or latino share will be about the same. young people probably will go down. they are showing less interests. but we can't say with specificity what dick is asserting. megyn: what are you supposed to do? >> both of us -- political pollsters screen and likeliness to vote, interest, intensity and where you are. we have in 2004 a split country. we had about an 8-point advantage for democrats in 2000. i can't imagine it being as good or better. if it is, republicans are going down across the board. >> we try to use a variety of different scenarios. even party, slight democratic advantage. bigger democratic advantage then look at differen different altes and advice accordingly. megyn: is there a finger on the poll? there was a hit pi
pollsters. doug schoen is the former advisor to bill clinton. dick morris who was once president clinton's pollster. but he's not a fan of the clintons anymore. but he writes this long piece talking about how the republicans are getting depressed under an after land much of polling that shows president obama ahead but she you shouldn't be because the pollsters are using a variance of the 2008 polling model that he says overstates the likelihood of success. >> it could. the truth is we don't know what the turnouts of democrats and republicans will be. but would i say this. dick it right in so far as most of the media polls are using -- are optimistic for the democratic party. as a professional pollster you try to be as cautious as possible in advising your clients. but most of the polls getting released are giving president obama the benefit of the doubt. megyn: why would they do that? if it says it's -- i don't understand why any pollster would want anything hotter than the most accurate results. >> what accurate is is often open to debate. the dirty little secret of polling is with cell
the trend. dick morris is fox news contributor and author of screwed. dick, you believe the story is . >> i don't think the numbers are accurate. i think there is a fundmental error going on in the polling by the media organizations. not by rasmussen and it shows romney one behind in florida and one in virginia and obama gets the undecided and could be ahead. but the difference is. they are using the is 2008 turn out model. huge latino and college students and viewwer elderly . that model happened for one year only. 2008. it didn't happen in 10 or four. and they are wrong for applying it. it is true if the people who voted in 8 as in 12 obama will get elected. >> brian: does it explain the trend. they were closer even with the same science? >> well, i don't believe that, i believe what they are doing is reweighting the data. that would not establish a trend. the accurate polling which is no reason to go to the polls. go to the accurate one. rasmussen shows the race within a point or two in each of the states . by the way, the trend in rasmussen and in my own poling is that romney was doing
. dick morris in a matter of minutes and we are going from here to ed gillespie running things for the mitt romney camp. should they be concerned about the battle ground states. all coming up on "fox & friends". don't go anywhere, but please get dressed. >> it is 51 after the top of the hour. quick headlines for you. low cost carrier air asia will soon be offering baby free quiet zones. the airline will only allow people 12 and over in that section of the plane. >>> while tensions rise in the patient's rest debacle some are somethi having fun at the nfl's expense. ♪ >> i like it the video has more than 78,000 views. patti ann? >> more on that controversial call heather during the packer's seahawks game up in arms over the nfl's use of refs. now they are worried over the player's safety and whether teams are getting burned in their chance to make it to the super bowl. can the nfl be legally held responsible by any of these groups let's ask criminal defense attorney and fox news contributor arthur adidala. let's look at towns who prophet. the mayor of green bay called an offici
Search Results 0 to 5 of about 6 (some duplicates have been removed)